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by Square League

India's Shoppers are Buying Cars, Not Groceries: A Deep Dive into India's Industrial Growth

The latest report card for India's industrial sector is out, and it paints a picture of steady, resilient growth. According to new data from the National Statistics Office, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), think of it as a health check for our nation's factories, mines, and power plants, grew by a solid 4.0% in September 2025 compared to the same month last year. This consistent performance, matching the growth seen in August, suggests that our industrial engine is humming along at a stable pace.

Person in construction gear operates a lever with gears in the background. Yellow and white tones dominate, illustrating work and progress.

So, what's powering this growth? The clear star of the show is the manufacturing sector, which expanded by a robust 4.8%. This is the heart of our industrial economy, and its strong performance is a major positive sign. Supporting this, the electricity sector also saw healthy growth, with output rising by 3.1% to meet the growing demand. The only sector to see a slight dip was mining, which contracted marginally by 0.4%, but this wasn't enough to pull down the overall positive momentum.


Digging a little deeper, we find some truly remarkable performers within manufacturing. The electrical equipment industry was a standout, surging by an incredible 28.7%. This indicates strong activity in everything from home appliances to heavy industrial machinery. Close behind, the automotive sector hit the accelerator with a 14.6% growth, suggesting that more vehicles are rolling off the assembly lines and into showrooms. Finally, the basic metals industry also showed its strength with a healthy 12.3% expansion, a crucial sign for construction and infrastructure development.


Bar and line graph of India's industrial index, Sep '24-Sep '25. Blue bars show index values; orange line shows growth rates in percent.
Source: IIP, MOSPI

But what does this economic data really tell us about the mood on the street and in the boardroom? The report gives us some fascinating clues. We saw a huge 10.5% jump in the production of infrastructure and construction goods. This means more steel, cement, and other materials are being produced to build our roads, bridges, and cities, signalling a boom in long-term projects. Furthermore, businesses seem confident about the future, as capital goods, the heavy machinery and equipment companies buy to expand, grew by 4.7%. This is a classic indicator that businesses are investing in future growth.


For the average person, the most telling sign was the impressive 10.2% growth in consumer durables. This means people are feeling confident enough to buy big-ticket items like cars, refrigerators, and electronics. However, the story comes with a note of caution. The production of consumer non-durables, which includes everyday essentials like packaged food and toiletries, saw a decline of 2.9%. This suggests that while people are willing to spend on major purchases, there might be some pressure on household budgets affecting daily spending habits, something to keep an eye on in the months ahead.


In conclusion, the September industrial data tells a story of stability and strength, driven by a vibrant manufacturing sector and strong investment in the nation's future. While we need to watch household spending on daily goods, the overall picture is one of an economy that is confidently moving forward.

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