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by Square League

How did the Indian Market perform in 2025

Updated: Jan 2

The year 2025 was not a blockbuster year for equity markets - but it was an important one. For India, it marked a phase of consolidation, resilience, and structural strengthening, even as global markets grappled with high interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and uneven growth. Rather than a sharp rally, Indian equities delivered measured, earnings-led returns, standing out within a fragmented emerging-market landscape.


India’s benchmark indices ended 2025 with moderate but positive gains. The Nifty 50 and the Sensex rose to 10.51% and 9.08% return rates, respectively, reflecting steady corporate earnings and domestic demand. The standout was the Bank Nifty, which significantly outperformed the broader market, supported by strong credit growth, healthier balance sheets, and improved asset quality, particularly among public sector banks. However, the year was largely range-bound. Markets touched record highs mid-year but lost momentum later as foreign investors reduced exposure and global uncertainty weighed on sentiment.

Performance in 2025 was uneven across sectors, rewarding domestic-focused industries while penalising globally exposed ones.


What worked well

Rank

Index

Return

Why It Performed Well

1

Nifty Metal

29.11%

Infrastructure demand, steel tariffs, recovery in global commodity prices

2

Nifty Auto

23.45%

Domestic consumption recovery, EV momentum, stable input costs

3

Bank Nifty

17.15%

Strong credit growth, declining NPAs, PSU bank turnaround, healthy margins

4

Nifty Infrastructure

13.62%

Government capex push, defence orders, railways and power-sector investments

5

Nifty 50

10.51%

Large-cap stability, strong domestic flows offsetting foreign outflows


What struggled

Rank

Index

Return

Why It Underperformed

1

Nifty Realty

-15.47%

 Higher interest rates, selective demand recovery, and rising input costs

2

Nifty Consumer Durables

-12.80%

Slower rural demand recovery, input cost pressures compressed margins

3

Nifty IT

-12.58%

Slowdown in US & European tech spending, weak deal momentum

4

S&P BSE Power

-6.70%

weak demand growth, subdued industrial off-take, fuel supply challenges, Tariff restrictions

5

Nifty Smallcap 100

-4.58%

Overvaluation concerns, liquidity tightening, risk-off sentiment

6

S&P BSE Utilities

-4.19%

weak demand growth, subdued industrial off-take, fuel supply challenges, Tariff restrictions


A defining feature of the year was the divergence across market capitalisation segments. Large-cap stocks clearly outperformed, supported by better earnings visibility, stronger governance, and consistent domestic institutional inflows. Mid-cap stocks went through a phase of correction and consolidation after strong gains in previous years, while small-cap stocks were the weakest performers, weighed down by valuation concerns and tighter liquidity. This shift reflected a broader investor preference for quality and stability over speculative growth during a period of global uncertainty.


Gold & Silver

Commodities played an important complementary role in portfolios through 2025. Gold emerged as a standout performer, delivering 74.5% returns as investors sought safety amid currency volatility and geopolitical risk. Silver also posted positive, though more volatile, gains of 175%, supported by industrial and renewable-energy demand. Industrial metals benefited from India’s infrastructure push, while crude oil prices remained volatile and largely range-bound, balancing geopolitical risks against demand concerns. Notably, gold outperformed several equity sectors during the year, reinforcing its role as a hedge rather than a growth asset.


Valuations were another key theme. Indian equities entered 2025 at elevated valuation levels, particularly in the mid- and small-cap space. Market corrections over the year helped bring valuations closer to long-term averages, improving the risk-reward profile for long-term investors, although some pockets of the market continued to appear expensive. On the macroeconomic front, India benefited from a relatively supportive environment marked by controlled inflation, easing interest rates, tax and GST measures, and improving employment trends. These factors helped sustain economic momentum and enabled India to overtake Japan as the world’s fourth-largest economy, even as exports and foreign capital inflows remained subdued.


Mutual funds

Mutual funds and systematic investment plans played a stabilising role throughout the year. Despite volatility and foreign selling, domestic investors continued to invest steadily through SIPs, providing consistent liquidity to the market. Mutual funds delivered disciplined performance, and hybrid strategies gained popularity as investors sought to manage risk while staying invested. Several equity mutual funds - particularly those focused on PSU stocks, infrastructure, flexi-cap strategies, and select mid-cap opportunities - featured among the better performers of 2025. According to The Economic Times, almost 97% of the Mutual Funds derived positive returns in 2025. For long-term investors, SIPs once again demonstrated their effectiveness in smoothing returns during a period of consolidation. 


Foreign Markets

Globally, the emerging-market picture in 2025 was mixed. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index delivered 30% gains, reflecting increased interest in emerging markets. China performed well, displaying the best annual performance since 2019. Brazil reached record levels above 165,000 during the year, reflecting broad gains across the market. South Korea’s performance marked one of the largest annual rallies in the decade. It was closely tied to global semiconductor cycles, while Taiwan's performance was driven by AI-led semiconductor demand, with concentrated risk. 

Rank

Market

Benchmark Index

Performance

Growth Driver

Market Nature

1

South Korea

KOSPI

75.67%

Technology exports

High-beta cyclical

2

Brazil

Bovespa

34.13%

Commodities

Commodity-driven

3

China

 Hang Seng Index

30.61%

Policy stimulus

Recovery-driven

4

Japan

Nikkei 225

28.07%

Exports, governance reforms

Cyclical rebound

5

Taiwan

TAIEX

26.85%

Semiconductors, AI exports

Tech-led growth

6

India

Nifty 50

10.51%

Domestic demand, reforms

Structural growth


2025 was a year that highlighted the growing maturity of India’s equity market. Returns were moderate, leadership was selective, and volatility persisted, but the underlying foundations strengthened. Large caps, banks, infrastructure, and metals drove performance; commodities, especially gold, added resilience, and strong domestic participation through mutual funds and SIPs anchored the market. In an uncertain global environment, India reinforced its position as a steady, long-term investment story rather than a short-term trade.


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