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by Square League


Weekly Economic Outlook: December 8 - December 14, 2025
This past week reminded markets that while inflation pressures have eased from their peaks, central banks are still far from declaring victory. Starting with Australia, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its cash rate unchanged at 3.6% for the third straight meeting, in line with expectations. Borrowing costs remain at their lowest since April 2023. The RBA acknowledged that inflation has cooled sharply from 2022 levels, but the recent pickup has caught attention. While some

Remin Francis I R
15 hours ago2 min read


Why Investors Should Stay Bullish Despite Global Uncertainty
In a world marked by economic volatility and geopolitical tensions, it’s easy to get swept up in global uncertainty. However, India’s economic resilience continues to stand out, making it an attractive destination for investors. Despite external challenges, including trade disruptions and rising tariffs, India’s strong domestic demand, robust growth trajectory, and ongoing reforms offer a compelling case for why investors should stay bullish. Let’s take a closer look at the l

Remin Francis I R
5 days ago3 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: December 1 - December 7, 2025
Last week’s economic picture offered a mix of steady momentum and a few signs of cooling, both in India and across global markets. India’s manufacturing sector lost a bit of steam in November, with the HSBC Manufacturing PMI easing to 56.6 from the earlier estimate of 57.4 and sharply lower than October’s 59.2. It’s still comfortably above the long-run average of 54.2, but the slowdown reflected softer new orders and the weakest output growth since February. Export orders als

Remin Francis I R
Dec 82 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: November 24 - November 30, 2025
In the last week, we saw the spotlight firmly on India’s strong economic performance. India’s economy grew by 8.2% in the September quarter, outperforming market expectations of 7.3% and accelerating from the previous quarter's 7.8% growth. This marks the sharpest annual growth since March 2024, reflecting resilience despite the 50% US tariff imposed in August. Key drivers include increased government spending and GST tax cuts, which boosted consumer spending to 7.9% growth,

Remin Francis I R
Dec 11 min read


Are the bulls coming back? Decoding India’s October 2025 Market Rally
If you’ve been tracking the Indian stock market recently, you’ve likely noticed a distinct shift in sentiment. After a period of volatility, the bulls made a decisive comeback in October and November. But what exactly flips the switch? Was it domestic strength, global cues, or just market noise? According to the latest RBI Bulletin, it wasn’t just one factor; it was a convergence of favourable global tides and strong domestic fundamentals. Let’s dive into what fueled the rall

Remin Francis I R
Nov 262 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: November 17 - November 23, 2025
Last week brought a mix of upbeat and cautionary signals for the Indian economy, with several key data points offering a clearer view of where things stand as we move toward the year-end. From a sharp recovery in passenger vehicle sales to steady unemployment levels and a slight softening in business activity, India continues to show resilience despite global uncertainties. India Total Passenger Vehicle Sales In October 2025, India saw a remarkable 15.8% jump in passenger veh

Remin Francis I R
Nov 242 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: November 10 - November 16, 2025
As we look back on the latest economic developments, there’s a mix of both caution and optimism in the air, with key data points reflecting various challenges and opportunities across global markets. The UK job market took a hit in the third quarter of 2025, with the unemployment rate rising to 5.0%, marking the highest level since May 2021. This was slightly above expectations, with the number of unemployed individuals increasing by 117,000 to 1.789 million. Notably, the ris

Remin Francis I R
Nov 172 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: November 3 - November 9, 2025
The past week, several key economic indicators have shaped the global economic outlook, with significant developments in both developed and emerging markets. In the United States, the ISM Services PMI rose to 52.4 in October, marking the strongest expansion in the services sector since February. Business activity and new orders both rebounded significantly. However, the employment index remained below the neutral level at 48.2, reflecting some caution in hiring, partly due to

Remin Francis I R
Nov 102 min read


Trump’s 2025 Tariff Timeline: Who’s targeted and what’s at stake?
A clear, date-by-date breakdown of Donald Trump’s 2025 tariff actions...your go-to resource for understanding the policies, industries hit, and global reactions.

Krishna Priya
Nov 625 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: October 27 - November 2, 2025
As we step into November, the global economy continues to navigate shifting growth patterns and policy adjustments, while India’s industrial engine keeps humming steadily. Here’s a quick look at what shaped markets and economies this week. India’s industrial production expanded 4% year-on-year in September 2025, holding close to the 4.1% growth seen in August and comfortably above the 2.6% market consensus. This marks the 12th straight month of growth, with output staying abo

Remin Francis I R
Nov 32 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: October 20 - October 26, 2025
As we head into October, the global economy is showing a mix of strength and challenges, with inflation still a concern and growth in key areas moving at different paces. India’s infrastructure output grew by 3% year-on-year in September 2025, a sharp slowdown from the 6.5% growth in August, which had been the highest in over a year. This drop was largely driven by weak performance in key sectors like coal (-1.2%), crude oil (-1.3%), and natural gas (-3.8%), with the ongoing

Remin Francis I R
Oct 272 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: October 13 - October 19, 2025
The past week brought a mix of steady progress and subtle shifts across key global and domestic indicators, reflecting the ongoing tug-of-war between inflation, employment, and trade dynamics. Starting with the United Kingdom, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.8% in the three months to August, slightly above market expectations of 4.7%. This marks the highest reading since mid-2021. The increase mainly came from those unemployed for up to six months and those jobless for o

Remin Francis I R
Oct 212 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: October 6 - October 12, 2025
As we reflect on this past week’s economic data, several key indicators highlight both challenges and resilience across global markets. In India, the HSBC India Composite PMI for September 2025 showed a slight slowdown, dropping to 61.0 from 63.2 in August, marking the lowest level since June. This signals a deceleration in output growth across both manufacturing and services, despite the index still sitting comfortably above the long-term average. New orders saw slower growt

Remin Francis I R
Oct 132 min read


How Kerala Leads in Reducing Consumption Inequality in India
India’s journey towards economic growth is often talked about with optimism. Yet, the conversation is typically centred around the challenge of rising income inequality, commonly referred to as the “K-shaped recovery”(a post-pandemic trend where the wealthy recover quickly while the poor stagnate or decline). But a recently released government survey, the Household Consumption Expenditure Survey (HCES) 2022-23, challenges this narrative, suggesting that when it comes to actu

Remin Francis I R
Oct 84 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 29- October 5, 2025
The past week has seen some notable economic developments globally, with India and key international markets showing mixed signals on growth, inflation, and manufacturing. In India, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held its key repo rate steady at 5.50% in its October meeting. This was expected, given the easing inflation and the RBI’s cautious approach. Inflation has come down to a manageable 2.6%, and the central bank even raised its GDP growth forecast for FY2025/26 to 6.8%

Remin Francis I R
Oct 62 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 22-28, 2025
As September draws to a close, the Indian economy continues to fire on multiple cylinders, though not without a few speed bumps. Infrastructure output is growing at its fastest pace in a year, PMI readings remain comfortably in expansion territory despite easing from record highs, and forex reserves are holding near their historic peak. Together, these signals paint a picture of an economy that is still resilient, even as global headwinds and competitive pressures test its st

Remin Francis I R
Sep 292 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 15-21, 2025
India’s wholesale inflation story turned a corner in August. Wholesale prices rose 0.52% year-on-year, bouncing back from July’s steep 0.58% decline and topping market expectations of a 0.30% rise. The driver was food, which inched up 0.21% after a sharp 2.15% fall earlier. Wheat prices shot up 4.75%, while milk rose 2.58%, though pulses (-14.85%) and paddy (-0.84%) continued to ease. Manufacturing costs also increased, with inflation at 2.55%, the fastest pace in four months

Remin Francis I R
Sep 222 min read


Is Kerala Missing Out on India’s Investment Boom?
India is gearing up for a new wave of private corporate investments, but Kerala seems to be missing out. Why are states like Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Andhra Pradesh leading, while Kerala lags? Here’s a closer look at where Kerala stands in India’s investment story.

Remin Francis I R
Sep 152 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 08-14, 2025
Global markets had plenty to digest last week, ranging from India’s steady economic footing to signs of weakness in the US job market, China’s widening trade surplus, and Europe’s cautious monetary stance. Let’s break it down. India: Inflation Rate Starting with India , consumer inflation edged up to 2.07% in August 2025, from 1.61% in July. This was the first monthly increase in ten months, but still comfortably within the RBI’s target range. Food prices actually fell by 0

Remin Francis I R
Sep 152 min read


India Economic Outlook: Global Upgrade Amid Challenges
When it comes to the Indian economy, the story right now feels like a mix of sunshine and clouds. On one side, we’ve got good news, like a healthy monsoon, lower inflation, and even an international thumbs-up in the form of a rating upgrade (“BBB-” to “BBB”, S&P Global Ratings). On the other hand, there are some nagging worries, from sluggish industries at home to uncertain trade policies abroad, especially with the US. The Reserve Bank of India’s latest bulletin (August 2025

Remin Francis I R
Sep 103 min read
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