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by Square League


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 29- October 5, 2025
The past week has seen some notable economic developments globally, with India and key international markets showing mixed signals on growth, inflation, and manufacturing. In India, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held its key repo rate steady at 5.50% in its October meeting. This was expected, given the easing inflation and the RBI’s cautious approach. Inflation has come down to a manageable 2.6%, and the central bank even raised its GDP growth forecast for FY2025/26 to 6.8%

Remin Francis I R
Oct 6, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 22-28, 2025
As September draws to a close, the Indian economy continues to fire on multiple cylinders, though not without a few speed bumps. Infrastructure output is growing at its fastest pace in a year, PMI readings remain comfortably in expansion territory despite easing from record highs, and forex reserves are holding near their historic peak. Together, these signals paint a picture of an economy that is still resilient, even as global headwinds and competitive pressures test its st

Remin Francis I R
Sep 29, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 15-21, 2025
India’s wholesale inflation story turned a corner in August. Wholesale prices rose 0.52% year-on-year, bouncing back from July’s steep 0.58% decline and topping market expectations of a 0.30% rise. The driver was food, which inched up 0.21% after a sharp 2.15% fall earlier. Wheat prices shot up 4.75%, while milk rose 2.58%, though pulses (-14.85%) and paddy (-0.84%) continued to ease. Manufacturing costs also increased, with inflation at 2.55%, the fastest pace in four months

Remin Francis I R
Sep 22, 20252 min read


Is Kerala Missing Out on India’s Investment Boom?
India is gearing up for a new wave of private corporate investments, but Kerala seems to be missing out. Why are states like Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Andhra Pradesh leading, while Kerala lags? Here’s a closer look at where Kerala stands in India’s investment story.

Remin Francis I R
Sep 15, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 08-14, 2025
Global markets had plenty to digest last week, ranging from India’s steady economic footing to signs of weakness in the US job market, China’s widening trade surplus, and Europe’s cautious monetary stance. Let’s break it down. India: Inflation Rate Starting with India , consumer inflation edged up to 2.07% in August 2025, from 1.61% in July. This was the first monthly increase in ten months, but still comfortably within the RBI’s target range. Food prices actually fell by 0

Remin Francis I R
Sep 15, 20252 min read


India Economic Outlook: Global Upgrade Amid Challenges
When it comes to the Indian economy, the story right now feels like a mix of sunshine and clouds. On one side, we’ve got good news, like a healthy monsoon, lower inflation, and even an international thumbs-up in the form of a rating upgrade (“BBB-” to “BBB”, S&P Global Ratings). On the other hand, there are some nagging worries, from sluggish industries at home to uncertain trade policies abroad, especially with the US. The Reserve Bank of India’s latest bulletin (August 2025

Remin Francis I R
Sep 10, 20253 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 01-07, 2025
India ’s economy continued to shine in August with strong PMI readings. The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI rose to 59.3, the fastest improvement in nearly 17 and a half years, reflecting robust demand and a near five-year high in production. New orders surged at the fastest pace in 57 months, while firms rebuilt inventories and continued hiring for the 18th straight month. On the services side, the HSBC India Services PMI came in at 62.5, still marking the strongest expansion

Remin Francis I R
Sep 8, 20252 min read


India’s Economy Springs a Surprise: GDP Grows 7.8% in Q1 FY26
If you thought India’s economy might slow down this year, think again. The latest GDP numbers have come as a surprise to everyone. In the April-June quarter, India clocked an impressive 7.8% growth, the fastest pace in five quarters. Economists had expected a figure closer to 6.7%, but the actual number has comfortably surpassed those forecasts. To put it in context, growth in the same period last year was 6.5%. With this rebound, India has once again cemented its position a

Remin Francis I R
Sep 1, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: August 25-31, 2025
The last week of August brought a mix of encouraging numbers and global signals that investors and businesses will be watching closely. Let’s break it down. India, GDP Annual Growth Rate India’s economy continued to show resilience. Industrial production grew by 3.5% in July 2025, a sharp rise from June’s 1.5% and well above market expectations of 2.1%. Manufacturing was the star performer, expanding 5.4%, while electricity output returned to growth at 0.6%. Mining, though s

Remin Francis I R
Sep 1, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: August 18-24, 2025
India’s economy showed resilience last week with record PMI readings, falling unemployment, and steady infrastructure growth, even as global inflation trends and U.S. tariff pressures added a note of caution.

Remin Francis I R
Aug 25, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: August 11-August 17, 2025
This week’s market update covers key economic developments across India, the US, UK, Australia, and China. From India’s record-low inflation and a rebound in vehicle sales to rising US core prices and global growth trends, here’s what investors need to know.

Remin Francis I R
Aug 18, 20252 min read


Kerala’s Hot Crisis, India’s Cool Inflation
For the first time in years, there’s a significant sign of relief for household budgets across India. The country’s headline inflation rate (CPI) dropped to just 1.55% in July 2025, the lowest since June 2017. That’s a big deal in a nation where prices have often felt like they only move one way: up. Even better news? Food inflation has gone negative at -1.76% . In plain words, on average, the basket of food items you buy today is cheaper than it was a year ago. Vegetables,

Remin Francis I R
Aug 13, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: August 04-August 10, 2025
From India’s record-high PMI to China’s export surge, and from the RBI’s steady hand to the Bank of England’s surprise rate cut, here’s your quick, country-by-country look at last week’s key market and economy updates.

Remin Francis I R
Aug 11, 20252 min read


India had "This" to say about the 25% US tariff: “Unjustified and Unreasonable”.
The global stage just got a little hotter, and no, we’re not talking about climate change. We’re talking about tariffs, oil, and geopolitics. At the centre of this storm? India, the US, and Russia. Let’s break it down. The Spark: What Triggered the US Threat? It all began with a sharp accusation from former US President Donald Trump. On August 4th 2025, in a fiery post on Truth Social, Trump lashed out at India, threatening to “ substantially” increase tariffs , possibly up

Remin Francis I R
Aug 5, 20253 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 28-August 03, 2025
As we wrap up another week, let’s dive into some of the key economic developments both at home and abroad. In India , industrial production showed a modest 1.5% year-on-year growth in June 2025, which, although an improvement from the 1.2% growth in May, still fell short of expectations for a 2% increase. This slower growth marks the lowest expansion since August 2024, with manufacturing output driving most of the gains (3.9% vs 3.2% in May). On the flip side, the mining and

Remin Francis I R
Aug 4, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 21-July 27, 2025
India's manufacturing and infrastructure continue to shine, even as global markets flash mixed signals. From record-high factory activity to cooling US housing sales and cautious moves by global central banks, here’s a crisp wrap of the week’s key economic updates.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 28, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 14-July 20, 2025
A sharp drop in India’s inflation, China’s growing trade surplus, and inflationary trends in the US and UK shaped the global economic narrative this week. Here's a concise look at the key highlights and what they could mean going forward.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 21, 20252 min read


This single company is now as big as India: Nvidia’s $4 trillion valuation
In July 2025, Nvidia hit a $4 trillion market cap, becoming the most valuable company in the world. For perspective, that’s roughly equal to the entire nominal GDP of India

Kiran S N
Jul 11, 20253 min read


Are U.S. markets overvalued now? What does the Buffett Indicator say about valuation?
One useful tool for gauging overall market valuation is the Buffett Indicator, which compares a country’s total stock market value to its GDP. As of July 2025, the United States stands at an elevated 207%, while India ranges between 124% to 129%, both well above their historical averages.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 9, 20253 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: June 30-July 6, 2025
As we approach the end of June and the beginning of July, global markets have witnessed a mix of signals, some signs of stabilisation in major economies, while others hint at ongoing challenges. In the US , the labour market showed strength. The number of job openings rose to 7.769 million in May, surpassing market expectations. The unemployment rate dropped slightly to 4.1% , signalling stability. However, job growth has been slowing, particularly in government sectors, and

Remin Francis I R
Jul 7, 20252 min read
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