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by Square League


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 01-07, 2025
India ’s economy continued to shine in August with strong PMI readings. The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI rose to 59.3, the fastest improvement in nearly 17 and a half years, reflecting robust demand and a near five-year high in production. New orders surged at the fastest pace in 57 months, while firms rebuilt inventories and continued hiring for the 18th straight month. On the services side, the HSBC India Services PMI came in at 62.5, still marking the strongest expansion

Remin Francis I R
Sep 82 min read


India’s Economy Springs a Surprise: GDP Grows 7.8% in Q1 FY26
If you thought India’s economy might slow down this year, think again. The latest GDP numbers have come as a surprise to everyone. In the April-June quarter, India clocked an impressive 7.8% growth, the fastest pace in five quarters. Economists had expected a figure closer to 6.7%, but the actual number has comfortably surpassed those forecasts. To put it in context, growth in the same period last year was 6.5%. With this rebound, India has once again cemented its position a

Remin Francis I R
Sep 12 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: August 25-31, 2025
The last week of August brought a mix of encouraging numbers and global signals that investors and businesses will be watching closely. Let’s break it down. India, GDP Annual Growth Rate India’s economy continued to show resilience. Industrial production grew by 3.5% in July 2025, a sharp rise from June’s 1.5% and well above market expectations of 2.1%. Manufacturing was the star performer, expanding 5.4%, while electricity output returned to growth at 0.6%. Mining, though s

Remin Francis I R
Sep 12 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: August 18-24, 2025
India’s economy showed resilience last week with record PMI readings, falling unemployment, and steady infrastructure growth, even as global inflation trends and U.S. tariff pressures added a note of caution.

Remin Francis I R
Aug 252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: August 11-August 17, 2025
This week’s market update covers key economic developments across India, the US, UK, Australia, and China. From India’s record-low inflation and a rebound in vehicle sales to rising US core prices and global growth trends, here’s what investors need to know.

Remin Francis I R
Aug 182 min read


Kerala’s Hot Crisis, India’s Cool Inflation
For the first time in years, there’s a significant sign of relief for household budgets across India. The country’s headline inflation rate (CPI) dropped to just 1.55% in July 2025, the lowest since June 2017. That’s a big deal in a nation where prices have often felt like they only move one way: up. Even better news? Food inflation has gone negative at -1.76% . In plain words, on average, the basket of food items you buy today is cheaper than it was a year ago. Vegetables,

Remin Francis I R
Aug 132 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: August 04-August 10, 2025
From India’s record-high PMI to China’s export surge, and from the RBI’s steady hand to the Bank of England’s surprise rate cut, here’s your quick, country-by-country look at last week’s key market and economy updates.

Remin Francis I R
Aug 112 min read


India had "This" to say about the 25% US tariff: “Unjustified and Unreasonable”.
The global stage just got a little hotter, and no, we’re not talking about climate change. We’re talking about tariffs, oil, and geopolitics. At the centre of this storm? India, the US, and Russia. Let’s break it down. The Spark: What Triggered the US Threat? It all began with a sharp accusation from former US President Donald Trump. On August 4th 2025, in a fiery post on Truth Social, Trump lashed out at India, threatening to “ substantially” increase tariffs , possibly up

Remin Francis I R
Aug 53 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 28-August 03, 2025
As we wrap up another week, let’s dive into some of the key economic developments both at home and abroad. In India , industrial production showed a modest 1.5% year-on-year growth in June 2025, which, although an improvement from the 1.2% growth in May, still fell short of expectations for a 2% increase. This slower growth marks the lowest expansion since August 2024, with manufacturing output driving most of the gains (3.9% vs 3.2% in May). On the flip side, the mining and

Remin Francis I R
Aug 42 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 21-July 27, 2025
India's manufacturing and infrastructure continue to shine, even as global markets flash mixed signals. From record-high factory activity to cooling US housing sales and cautious moves by global central banks, here’s a crisp wrap of the week’s key economic updates.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 282 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 14-July 20, 2025
A sharp drop in India’s inflation, China’s growing trade surplus, and inflationary trends in the US and UK shaped the global economic narrative this week. Here's a concise look at the key highlights and what they could mean going forward.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 212 min read


This single company is now as big as India: Nvidia’s $4 trillion valuation
In July 2025, Nvidia hit a $4 trillion market cap, becoming the most valuable company in the world. For perspective, that’s roughly equal to the entire nominal GDP of India

Kiran S N
Jul 113 min read


Are U.S. markets overvalued now? What does the Buffett Indicator say about valuation?
One useful tool for gauging overall market valuation is the Buffett Indicator, which compares a country’s total stock market value to its GDP. As of July 2025, the United States stands at an elevated 207%, while India ranges between 124% to 129%, both well above their historical averages.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 93 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: June 30-July 6, 2025
As we approach the end of June and the beginning of July, global markets have witnessed a mix of signals, some signs of stabilisation in major economies, while others hint at ongoing challenges. In the US , the labour market showed strength. The number of job openings rose to 7.769 million in May, surpassing market expectations. The unemployment rate dropped slightly to 4.1% , signalling stability. However, job growth has been slowing, particularly in government sectors, and

Remin Francis I R
Jul 72 min read


While the World Struggled, did the Indian economy Hold Its Nerve in June 2025?
India’s economy grew by 6.5% in 2024-25, and even more impressively, clocked 7.4% growth in the last quarter, making it one of the fastest-growing major economies right now.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 42 min read


How Gold is misleading India's inflation data. Exploring how it affects India's true economic picture.
India's inflation numbers in May 2025 certainly made headlines, hitting a remarkable six-year low with the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation at just 2.82%. That sounds like great news, right?

Kiran S N
Jun 302 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: June 23-29, 2025
Last week's market update, we take a closer look at India’s easing inflation, with wholesale price growth slowing to its lowest in over a year. While food prices moderated, the trade deficit remains stable, and passenger vehicle sales saw modest growth. On a positive note, India’s foreign exchange reserves continue to rise. We also touch on global economic trends, with central banks like the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England maintaining cautious stances amidst ongoing u

Kiran S N
Jun 301 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: June 16-22, 2025
Last week's market update, we take a closer look at India’s easing inflation, with wholesale price growth slowing to its lowest in over a year. While food prices moderated, the trade deficit remains stable, and passenger vehicle sales saw modest growth. On a positive note, India’s foreign exchange reserves continue to rise. We also touch on global economic trends, with central banks like the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England maintaining cautious stances amidst ongoing u

Remin Francis I R
Jun 232 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: June 9-15, 2025
This week’s global market roundup brings encouraging news on inflation, with India hitting a 6-year low and US consumer sentiment showing signs of recovery. But China’s continued deflation and rising UK unemployment point to deeper economic uncertainties. Here's a quick look at what's moving the numbers around the world.

Remin Francis I R
Jun 162 min read


War, Oil, and India: How will the Israel - Iran war affect India
The recent Israel-Iran conflict has immediately sent shockwaves through global oil markets. From June 12–16, Brent crude jumped approximately 7% to ~$74.23 , back to its April levels. Similarly, WTI surged about 7.6% to $72.98 . Even on June 16, both benchmarks remained elevated, with Brent around $74.87 and WTI at $73.74, following early session swings of over $4. Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Citi largely attribute these price increases to a risk premium rather than funda

Kiran S N
Jun 163 min read
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