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by Square League


BEATING INFLATION :Five Asset Classes for Indian Investors
How different investments have preserved and grown real wealth over the last five years. Horizon ≈ 5 years · 2020–2025 Currency INR Measure CAGR, point-to-point Inflation quietly erodes wealth: money left idle loses purchasing power every year. Between FY2021 and FY2025, India's consumer price inflation averaged roughly 5.5%, so any asset returning less than that lost real value. Over this five-year window, several asset classes cleared that bar comfortably. Indian equi
Samuel Zachariah
4 hours ago4 min read


India's Atomic Renaissance: Decoding the SHANTI Act and the Era of Private Nuclear Energy
Learn how the SHANTI Act transforms India's nuclear sector, enabling private investment, boosting clean energy, and reshaping the future of atomic power.

Amal K B
Jul 274 min read


India's Retail Inflation Hits 18-Month High: Why Prices Are Rising, and What It Means for You
India's retail inflation climbed to 4.38% in June 2026, its highest level in 18 months, as a delayed monsoon sent vegetable prices soaring and global energy costs fed through to transport. The RBI held rates steady but raised its own inflation forecast — signalling more price pressure ahead.

Amal K B
Jul 175 min read


Why Does the RBI Care So Much About 4%? Here's the Simple Truth
So what exactly is "inflation targeting"? Think of it like a thermostat for the economy. The government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have agreed: we want prices to rise at no more than 4% a year. That's the "set temperature." If prices start rising too fast, the RBI raises interest rates to cool things down. If the economy is too cold, it cuts rates to warm it up. This system was formally introduced in 2016 when the RBI Act was amended. In March 2026, via a government

Remin Francis I R
Jun 154 min read


Rising Prices & a Dodgy Monsoon: What the RBI's Latest Call Means for You
The Reserve Bank of India made its big announcement last week, and your social media feed is probably full of terms like "repo rate," "neutral stance," and "CPI inflation." If you switched off the moment those words appeared, this post is for you. Let's talk about what actually happened, and why it matters to your everyday life. First, a Quick Refresher: What Is the MPC? Think of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) as a small group of six very senior economists who meet ever

Remin Francis I R
Jun 85 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: May 11-May 17, 2026
The global economy continues to feel the impact of the prolonged Middle East conflict, especially through rising energy prices. April’s inflation numbers across major economies clearly show how higher fuel costs are slowly spreading into transportation, manufacturing, and even daily household expenses. In China, inflation moved up to 1.2% from 1.0%, higher than market expectations of 0.8%. Transport costs jumped sharply to 4.6% from 0.9%, mainly due to higher energy prices an

Remin Francis I R
May 182 min read


A Weak Monsoon, A Strong Signal: What 2026 Rainfall Means for you
The weakest opening forecast in over 20 years is in now in 2026! It is forecasted to be 92% of the Long Period Average (LPA) by the India Meteorological Department (IMD). This falls in the “below normal” bracket. At first glance, that might sound like a routine deviation. It is not. The RBI's April 2026 Bulletin identified something broader. Climate change, erratic rainfall, and rising temperatures are now having a considerable effect on India's food prices and economic outpu
Anjali Rose Abraham
May 64 min read


Inflation is 0.71%, So Why Does Life Still Feel Expensive? The Truth About "Sticky" Costs
If you glanced at the news headlines, you probably saw a number that looked too good to be true. According to the latest government press release, India’s headline inflation rate for November 2025 is 0.71%. On paper, this is amazing news. It suggests that prices are barely moving. Compared to this time last year, when inflation was over 5%, we seem to be living in a completely different economic landscape. But if you are nodding your head thinking, "My bank account definitely

Remin Francis I R
Dec 15, 20253 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: November 10 - November 16, 2025
As we look back on the latest economic developments, there’s a mix of both caution and optimism in the air, with key data points reflecting various challenges and opportunities across global markets. The UK job market took a hit in the third quarter of 2025, with the unemployment rate rising to 5.0%, marking the highest level since May 2021. This was slightly above expectations, with the number of unemployed individuals increasing by 117,000 to 1.789 million. Notably, the ris

Remin Francis I R
Nov 17, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: November 3 - November 9, 2025
The past week, several key economic indicators have shaped the global economic outlook, with significant developments in both developed and emerging markets. In the United States, the ISM Services PMI rose to 52.4 in October, marking the strongest expansion in the services sector since February. Business activity and new orders both rebounded significantly. However, the employment index remained below the neutral level at 48.2, reflecting some caution in hiring, partly due to

Remin Francis I R
Nov 10, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 08-14, 2025
Global markets had plenty to digest last week, ranging from India’s steady economic footing to signs of weakness in the US job market, China’s widening trade surplus, and Europe’s cautious monetary stance. Let’s break it down. India: Inflation Rate Starting with India, consumer inflation edged up to 2.07% in August 2025, from 1.61% in July. This was the first monthly increase in ten months, but still comfortably within the RBI’s target range. Food prices actually fell by 0.69

Remin Francis I R
Sep 15, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 01-07, 2025
India’s economy continued to shine in August with strong PMI readings. The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI rose to 59.3, the fastest improvement in nearly 17 and a half years, reflecting robust demand and a near five-year high in production. New orders surged at the fastest pace in 57 months, while firms rebuilt inventories and continued hiring for the 18th straight month. On the services side, the HSBC India Services PMI came in at 62.5, still marking the strongest expansion si

Remin Francis I R
Sep 8, 20252 min read


Kerala’s Hot Crisis, India’s Cool Inflation
For the first time in years, there’s a significant sign of relief for household budgets across India. The country’s headline inflation rate (CPI) dropped to just 1.55% in July 2025, the lowest since June 2017. That’s a big deal in a nation where prices have often felt like they only move one way: up. Even better news? Food inflation has gone negative at -1.76%. In plain words, on average, the basket of food items you buy today is cheaper than it was a year ago. Vegetables, pu

Remin Francis I R
Aug 13, 20252 min read


Will Gold prices increase in 2025? Here’s What the forecast data says...
Global gold demand held steady in volume terms at 1,249 tonnes in Q2, up 3% year-on-year, but in value it surged to a record-breaking US$132 billion. Prices averaged over US$3,280/oz, making this one of the strongest pricing environments on record. It begs the question every investor is asking: Should I buy gold now, or is the rally peaking?

Kiran S N
Aug 11, 20254 min read


How Much Does a 10% Rise in Oil Prices Add to your Monthly Budget?
For every 10% rise in global crude oil prices, India’s inflation could rise by 0.2%.

Remin Francis I R
Aug 4, 20252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 14-July 20, 2025
A sharp drop in India’s inflation, China’s growing trade surplus, and inflationary trends in the US and UK shaped the global economic narrative this week. Here's a concise look at the key highlights and what they could mean going forward.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 21, 20252 min read


With Inflation dropping, is India entering a Goldilocks Economy?
Imagine an economy that’s not overheating with high prices...and not slowing down either. That sweet spot where growth stays strong, inflation stays in check, and interest rates remain stable is what economists like to call a Goldilocks economy.

Kiran S N
Jul 18, 20253 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 07-July 13, 2025
This week’s market update brings a mix of encouraging signs and cautious moves. China’s inflation nudged higher, Canada saw a surprise drop in unemployment, and India’s forex reserves dipped slightly. A quick look at how global economic shifts are shaping the outlook.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 14, 20251 min read


How Gold is misleading India's inflation data. Exploring how it affects India's true economic picture.
India's inflation numbers in May 2025 certainly made headlines, hitting a remarkable six-year low with the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation at just 2.82%. That sounds like great news, right?

Kiran S N
Jun 30, 20252 min read


What will happen if the Israel-Iran war continues? An economic perspective
What happens when two powerful nations in the Middle East move from proxy war to direct conflict? This post explores the potential global economic fallout if the Iran–Israel escalation continues, drawing lessons from past oil crises, regional wars, and market shocks. From rising oil prices to shaken investor confidence across the Gulf, we look at how history could repeat itself and what it means for the world economy today.

Remin Francis I R
Jun 25, 20252 min read
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