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by Square League


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 08-14, 2025
Global markets had plenty to digest last week, ranging from India’s steady economic footing to signs of weakness in the US job market, China’s widening trade surplus, and Europe’s cautious monetary stance. Let’s break it down. India: Inflation Rate Starting with India , consumer inflation edged up to 2.07% in August 2025, from 1.61% in July. This was the first monthly increase in ten months, but still comfortably within the RBI’s target range. Food prices actually fell by 0

Remin Francis I R
Sep 152 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: September 01-07, 2025
India ’s economy continued to shine in August with strong PMI readings. The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI rose to 59.3, the fastest improvement in nearly 17 and a half years, reflecting robust demand and a near five-year high in production. New orders surged at the fastest pace in 57 months, while firms rebuilt inventories and continued hiring for the 18th straight month. On the services side, the HSBC India Services PMI came in at 62.5, still marking the strongest expansion

Remin Francis I R
Sep 82 min read


Kerala’s Hot Crisis, India’s Cool Inflation
For the first time in years, there’s a significant sign of relief for household budgets across India. The country’s headline inflation rate (CPI) dropped to just 1.55% in July 2025, the lowest since June 2017. That’s a big deal in a nation where prices have often felt like they only move one way: up. Even better news? Food inflation has gone negative at -1.76% . In plain words, on average, the basket of food items you buy today is cheaper than it was a year ago. Vegetables,

Remin Francis I R
Aug 132 min read


Will Gold prices increase in 2025? Here’s What the forecast data says...
Global gold demand held steady in volume terms at 1,249 tonnes in Q2, up 3% year-on-year, but in value it surged to a record-breaking US$132 billion. Prices averaged over US$3,280/oz, making this one of the strongest pricing environments on record. It begs the question every investor is asking: Should I buy gold now, or is the rally peaking?

Kiran S N
Aug 114 min read


How Much Does a 10% Rise in Oil Prices Add to your Monthly Budget?
For every 10% rise in global crude oil prices, India’s inflation could rise by 0.2%.

Remin Francis I R
Aug 42 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 14-July 20, 2025
A sharp drop in India’s inflation, China’s growing trade surplus, and inflationary trends in the US and UK shaped the global economic narrative this week. Here's a concise look at the key highlights and what they could mean going forward.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 212 min read


With Inflation dropping, is India entering a Goldilocks Economy?
Imagine an economy that’s not overheating with high prices...and not slowing down either. That sweet spot where growth stays strong, inflation stays in check, and interest rates remain stable is what economists like to call a Goldilocks economy.

Kiran S N
Jul 183 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: July 07-July 13, 2025
This week’s market update brings a mix of encouraging signs and cautious moves. China’s inflation nudged higher, Canada saw a surprise drop in unemployment, and India’s forex reserves dipped slightly. A quick look at how global economic shifts are shaping the outlook.

Remin Francis I R
Jul 141 min read


How Gold is misleading India's inflation data. Exploring how it affects India's true economic picture.
India's inflation numbers in May 2025 certainly made headlines, hitting a remarkable six-year low with the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation at just 2.82%. That sounds like great news, right?

Kiran S N
Jun 302 min read


What will happen if the Israel-Iran war continues? An economic perspective
What happens when two powerful nations in the Middle East move from proxy war to direct conflict? This post explores the potential global economic fallout if the Iran–Israel escalation continues, drawing lessons from past oil crises, regional wars, and market shocks. From rising oil prices to shaken investor confidence across the Gulf, we look at how history could repeat itself and what it means for the world economy today.

Remin Francis I R
Jun 252 min read


Weekly Economic Outlook: June 16-22, 2025
Last week's market update, we take a closer look at India’s easing inflation, with wholesale price growth slowing to its lowest in over a year. While food prices moderated, the trade deficit remains stable, and passenger vehicle sales saw modest growth. On a positive note, India’s foreign exchange reserves continue to rise. We also touch on global economic trends, with central banks like the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England maintaining cautious stances amidst ongoing u

Remin Francis I R
Jun 232 min read


Global Interest Rate Decisions: What to Expect in India, Canada, and the European Union
Discover the expected interest rate decisions for June 2025 in India, Canada, and the European Union. This article dives into the factors driving these decisions, especially India’s likely rate cut, and explores the potential economic impact on inflation and global markets.

Remin Francis I R
Jun 23 min read


Why Is Kerala’s Inflation Still High in April 2025 While India Sees a Cooldown?
India's inflation cooled to a six-year low of 3.16% in April 2025, driven by a sharp drop in food prices. However, Kerala bucked the trend, recording the highest inflation among major states at 5.94%, mainly due to rural price pressures. India’s inflation cooled significantly in April 2025, offering much-needed relief to consumers and policymakers alike. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) stood at 3.16% year-on-year, down from 3.34% in March. This marks the lowest inflat

Remin Francis I R
May 143 min read
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